Expert Overview: Rublev vs Sonego
The upcoming match between Andrey Rublev and Lorenzo Sonego on August 1, 2025, promises to be an intriguing encounter. Rublev, known for his powerful groundstrokes and formidable serve, is a favorite in many betting markets. Sonego, with his exceptional defensive skills and ability to construct points from the baseline, presents a challenging matchup. Both players have had their share of ups and downs this season, making this match unpredictable. The betting odds reflect a close contest, with Rublev slightly favored to win.
Rublev,Andrey
Sonego,Lorenzo
(FT)
Predictions:
| Market | Prediction | Odd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1st Set Games | 51.00% | (2-1) 5-7 1st Set 1.62 | |
| Under 1st Set Games | 66.80% | (2-1) 5-7 1st Set 1.40 | |
| Tie Break in 1st Set (No) | 82.30% | (2-1) | |
| Total Games 2-Way (Over 22.5) | 72.10% | (2-1) 1.73 | |
| Under 2.5 Sets | 72.20% | (2-1) | |
| Tie Break in Match (No) | 66.20% | (2-1) | |
| Over 3.5 Sets | 61.50% | (2-1) |
Betting Analysis: First Set
The first set is expected to be competitive, with a slight edge towards going over 1st set games at 50.40. This suggests that both players will likely exchange long rallies, pushing the limits of their endurance early in the match. The under 1st set games at 62.30 indicates that a quick set is less likely, aligning with the expectation of a tightly contested first set.
Tie Break Probability in First Set
The probability of a tie break occurring in the first set stands at 80.50 for “No Tie Break,” indicating that one player is expected to break serve and secure the set without reaching a tie break. This aligns with Rublev’s strong serving statistics and his ability to capitalize on service games.
Total Games Prediction
For total games in a two-way prediction over 22.5 games, the odds are at 72.70. This suggests that the match could extend beyond the minimum number of games required for a straight-sets victory, indicating potential competitiveness throughout the match.
Set Prediction: Under 2.5 Sets
The odds for “Under 2.5 Sets” stand at 71.50, suggesting that a decisive straight-set victory is more likely than an extended match going to three sets. This reflects confidence in Rublev’s ability to close out sets efficiently.
Tie Break in Match
The likelihood of no tie break occurring in the entire match is high at 63.50. This indicates that one player is expected to dominate at least one set significantly enough to avoid a tie break scenario.
Extended Match Possibility
The odds for “Over 3.5 Sets” are at 63.80, suggesting that while a three-set match is possible, it is not the most likely outcome. This aligns with expectations of either player securing a dominant performance in one or two sets.
