General Expert Overview
The clash between VfL Bochum and Mainz 05 on May 10, 2025, presents an intriguing match-up with plenty at stake for both sides as the Bundesliga season nears its conclusion. Statistically, the game is expected to see an average of around three goals (2.97), with both sides demonstrating moderate attacking ability (avg. goals scored: 1.31) and slightly vulnerable defenses (avg. conceded goals: 1.66). Disciplinary metrics are low, hinting at a fairly clean encounter, with yellow cards averaging just over 2 per game and red cards almost negligible.
VfL Bochum
Mainz 05
(FT)
Predictions:
| Market | Prediction | Odd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half | 84.00% | (1-4) 0-1 1H 1.29 | |
| Over 0.5 Goals HT | 81.00% | (1-4) 0-1 1H 1.30 | |
| Home Team Not To Score In 1st Half | 81.00% | (1-4) | |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78.00% | (1-4) 1.18 | |
| Under 5.5 Cards | 78.00% | (1-4) | |
| Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half | 72.00% | (1-4) 1-3 2H 1.50 | |
| First Goal Between Minute 0-29 | 69.00% | (1-4) 1.83 | |
| Away Team To Score In 2nd Half | 63.00% | (1-4) | |
| Under 4.5 Cards | 63.00% | (1-4) | |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56.00% | (1-4) 1.64 | |
| Over 1.5 Goals HT | 56.00% | (1-4) 0-1 1H 2.30 | |
| Away Team To Score In 1st Half | 56.00% | (1-4) | |
| Last Goal Minute 0-72 | 56.00% | (1-4) | |
| Home Team Not To Score In 2nd Half | 56.00% | (1-4) | |
| Both Teams Not to Score | 53.00% | (1-4) 2.63 | |
| Avg. Total Goals | 2.97% | (1-4) | |
| Yellow Cards | 2.06% | (1-4) | |
| Avg. Conceded Goals | 1.66% | (1-4) | |
| Avg. Goals Scored | 1.31% | (1-4) | |
| Red Cards | 0.03% | (1-4) |
Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half
The probability for both teams not to score in the first half is notably high at 84%. This suggests a cautious start, likely marked by disciplined defensive setups and limited risk-taking by either side. The teams may prioritize solidity over aggression early on, implying that goalless or one-sided halves are quite probable before the break.
Over 0.5 Goals HT & Home Team Not To Score In 1st Half
The chance of over 0.5 goals in the first half stands at 81%, reinforcing expectations of at least one breakthrough before halftime. However, with an identical probability for the home team failing to score in the first half, it’s likely that if a goal is scored early, it will come from Mainz 05. Bettors might look to capitalize on markets favouring Mainz to start stronger offensively.
Goals Markets: Over 1.5 Goals & Over 2.5 Goals
The match has a 78% probability for over 1.5 total goals, with a solid 56% for over 2.5 goals. This aligns with the average goals data, indicating a good likelihood of an open game especially in the latter stages. Punters should consider over goals markets, keeping in mind that the majority may fall in the second half when teams tend to open up.
Card Markets: Under 5.5 Cards & Under 4.5 Cards
With under 5.5 cards offered at 78% and under 4.5 cards at 63%, the disciplinary tone is expected to be measured and controlled. Both teams likely prefer to avoid suspensions as the season draws to a close, and neither are characterized by especially aggressive or reckless play.
Second Half Trends & Special Bets
The probability for both teams not scoring in the second half is also significant at 72%, hinting that while goals are expected, they may be one-sided as fatigue and tactical adjustments come into play. Additionally, the away team (Mainz 05) has a 63% likelihood to score in the second half and a 56% chance to score in the first half, suggesting Mainz show attacking threat across both periods, while Bochum might struggle offensively, especially late on (56% home team not to score in 2nd half).
Timing-Based Predictions
There’s a 69% probability that the first goal will be scored between minutes 0-29, indicating a swift approach from at least one team to establish control. The last goal is expected between minutes 0-72 (56%), making very late strikes less probable; tactical conservatism or fatigue may slow the tempo towards the end.
Expert Additional Predictions
Given the low overall card count, consider a clean-sheet bet for Mainz 05, especially in the second half, and potentially some value in first-half goals markets focused on the away side. With average goals and goals conceded both suggesting potential for defensive lapses, a correct scoreline of 1-2 or 0-2 in favour of Mainz is realistic. Expect a disciplined encounter where one side (likely Mainz) emerges with a crucial win.