Sudtirol vs Bari

General Overview: Sudtirol vs Bari

The upcoming matchup between Sudtirol and Bari on May 13, 2025, promises to be a tightly contested affair with both teams demonstrating resilient defensive records and moderate attacking output over recent games. The statistics indicate an average total goals figure of 2.44, suggesting the match is likely to offer a blend of attacking and defensive phases. Both teams average slightly above one goal scored and conceded per match, hinting at evenly balanced strengths and weaknesses.

Goals Markets

• Over 1.5 Goals: 80% — The probability of over 1.5 goals is overwhelmingly high, reflecting the attacking intent and defensive lapses of both teams. Expect at least two goals in the encounter.
• Over 0.5 Goals HT: 80% — The chance of at least one goal in the first half is also very strong, indicating early offensive activity and potential for a lively start.
• Sum of Goals 2 or 3: 60% — There is a meaningful likelihood of the final goal tally landing at either 2 or 3, aligning with the teams’ goal averages.
• Under 2.5 Goals: 55% — There remains a slight preference for under 2.5 goals, suggesting while goals are likely, a high-scoring encounter is not expected.

Scoring Distribution

• Both Teams To Score: 62% — The probability leans towards both teams finding the net, reinforcing the balanced attacking capabilities observed recently.
• Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half: 63% — Early exchanges could remain cagey, supporting a possible goalless first half for at least one team.
• Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half: 77% — The likelihood is high that at least one side will fail to score after the break, reflecting stronger second-half defensive adjustments.
• Away Team Not To Score In 2nd Half: 76% — Bari specifically may struggle to make an impact after halftime, suggesting Sudtirol’s defensive resilience in the latter stages.
• Home Team To Score In 1st Half: 67% — Sudtirol’s offensive presence is notable early, with a strong chance they secure a goal before the break.
• Home Team To Score In 2nd Half: 61% — Sudtirol’s attacking threat remains steady into the second half, expecting them to remain on the scoresheet.
• Away Team To Score In 1st Half: 53% — Bari poses a modest threat in the opening half, suggesting they are not likely to be shut out early on.

Timing and First Goal

• First Goal Between Minute 0-29: 65% — The early stages are likely decisive, with a strong probability that the deadlock is broken within the opening half hour.
• Draw In First Half: 54% — The chance for a level scoreline at halftime remains significant, indicating balance and a possibility of late-first-half action tipping the score.

Cards and Discipline

• Over 4.5 Cards: 69% — Expect a competitive and potentially heated contest, with a substantial probability of at least five cards shown in total.
• Over 5.5 Cards: 51% — The match could see further escalation in disciplinary measures, with just over a half chance of crossing the six-card threshold.
• Yellow Cards Avg: 2.63 — Both teams tend to accumulate bookings, suggesting referees might play a prominent role in maintaining order.
• Red Cards Avg: 0.03 — The likelihood of a sending-off is very low; expect all players to finish the match.

Additional Expert Predictions

• Early Goal-Scoring Impact: Both teams should look to score within the first half hour, making early bets on first-half action appealing.
• Second-Half Shutout Probability: Bari are unlikely to score in the second half, making Sudtirol clean sheet (second half only) a valuable market.
• Sudtirol as First Goalscorer: Given the likelihood of a Sudtirol goal in the first half, backing the home side to score first aligns with the trends.
• Match Card Accumulation: Given the predicted frenetic pace, player discipline will be tested—consider prop bets on individual yellow cards or team totals.