Sassuolo vs Frosinone

General Expert Overview

The clash between Sassuolo and Frosinone on May 13, 2025, presents a contest where Sassuolo appears to have offensive and possession advantages, while Frosinone might aim to stay compact and limit chances. Current goal averages (1.71 scored, 1.03 conceded per game) and a relatively low card count (1.88 yellows per match, 0.09 reds) suggest a potentially disciplined match, with the home team favored. The data points toward a moderately high-scoring encounter, but not one that should devolve into chaos or ill-discipline.

Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half

With an 85% probability, the first half is expected to be cagey, possibly with one side—most likely Frosinone—not getting on the scoresheet. This suits Sassuolo’s tendency to manage home matches assertively while Frosinone prioritize defense early on. It’s likely that the opening 45 minutes will be controlled, with a tactical approach keeping the scoresheet lean.

Home Team To Score In 2nd Half

There’s an 82% likelihood that Sassuolo will net in the second period. Frosinone’s defense, often organized in the first half, can tire or lose shape later. Sassuolo’s home support and pressing intensity tend to increase as the game progresses, which boosts their threat after halftime.

Over 1.5 Goals

A strong 76% probability for over 1.5 goals indicates that, despite a potentially quiet first half, the match is likely to feature at least two goals. With an average total goals rate of 2.73, business will pick up after the break, and attacking opportunities will become more frequent.

Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half

A 79% predicted chance for “both teams NOT to score” in this segment suggests Frosinone are unlikely to threaten Sassuolo’s goal after halftime. Sassuolo often consolidate leads and focus on structured defending in the latter stages, making a clean sheet in the second half plausible.

Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half

At 76% probability, Frosinone’s lack of attacking potency early is reflected. Sassuolo’s home defensive record and Frosinone’s conservative approach point to the visitors struggling to find the net before halftime.

Over 0.5 Goals HT & Home Team To Score In 1st Half

Both markets sit at 71%, meaning an early goal—likely for Sassuolo—is anticipated. This fits with Sassuolo’s pattern of pressing their advantage early in matches before locking down defensively if ahead.

Card Markets: Under 4.5 and 5.5 Cards

Both under markets show values around 70% (71% for under 5.5; 62% for under 4.5), in line with the average yellow card count of just 1.88 and extremely low red card frequency. This suggests a fair, open encounter without excessive physicality or referee intervention.

Home Team To Win

Sassuolo are given a 62% chance to take all three points. Combined with their attacking output and defensive solidity at home, this is a sound call: expect them to control territory and tempo, playing to their strengths.

Both Teams To Score & Away Team To Score In 2nd Half

Both probabilities stand at 53%, reflecting a moderate risk that Frosinone could grab a late goal and that Sassuolo might not keep a clean sheet overall. This could hint at a scenario where Sassuolo score first, Frosinone press as the game opens up, but still fail to overturn the result.

Other Match Dynamics

• Sum of Goals 2 or 3 / Under 2.5 Goals / First Goal 30+ Minutes: The possibility of a 2-3 goal match (53%) aligns with the expected moderate total, and an under 2.5 bet (56%) might appeal to risk-managers. The first goal possibly coming after 30 minutes (53%) reflects an anticipated strategic and cautious start to the match.
• Last Goal Minute 0-72: A 53% chance ties with the expectation that the match will be more or less decided before the dying minutes.

Additional Expert Predictions

• Sassuolo to control possession, aiming for a 2-0 or 2-1 win.
• Potential for a strong defensive performance from Sassuolo, conceding late only if already two goals ahead.
• Frosinone to rely on counterattacks, but with low conversion rate given Sassuolo’s structure.
• Low chance for any red cards; match likely to finish with minimal bookings.
• Tempo expected to rise after halftime, with Sassuolo bringing on impactful substitutes if required.