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Roma vs Fiorentina

Expert Match Overview: Roma vs Fiorentina

The upcoming Serie A clash between Roma and Fiorentina is set for May 4, 2025, at 16:00. Statistical indicators highlight a match with moderate scoring: the average total goals expected is 2.69, with Roma and Fiorentina combining for an average of 1.72 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Discipline is likely to be maintained, with yellow cards at a low average of 1.86, and red cards almost negligible. This profile suggests a slightly cautious fixture, potentially controlled in midfield and with strategic play dominating over high-tempo aggression.

Roma

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Fiorentina

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Date: 2025-05-04
Time: 16:00
(FT)
Venue: Stadio Olimpico
Score: 1-0

Predictions:

MarketPredictionOddResult
Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half85.00%(1-0) 0-0 2H 1.29
Over 0.5 Goals HT79.00%(1-0) 1-0 1H 1.44
Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half78.00%(1-0) 1-0 1H 1.15
Over 1.5 Goals73.00%(1-0) 1.33
Under 5.5 Cards72.00%(1-0)
Home Team To Score In 2nd Half71.00%(1-0)
First Goal Between Minute 0-2961.00%(1-0) 1.83
Away Team To Score In 1st Half56.00%(1-0)
Over 2.5 Goals55.00%(1-0) 2.00
Last Goal Minute 0-7255.00%(1-0)
Home Team Not To Score In 1st Half53.00%(1-0)
Both Teams To Score52.00%(1-0) 1.95
Home Team To Win51.00%(1-0) 1.75
Under 4.5 Cards51.00%(1-0)
Avg. Total Goals2.69%(1-0)
Yellow Cards1.86%(1-0)
Avg. Goals Scored1.72%(1-0)
Avg. Conceded Goals0.97%(1-0)
Red Cards0.03%(1-0)

Betting List & Expert Insights

Both Teams Not To Score in 2nd Half (Prediction: 85.00%)

The data strongly leans towards only one team finding the net in the second half, or none at all. Given both defenses’ reliability in conceding less than one goal per match, look for tactical containment after halftime, especially if the match state allows for in-game management by the leading side.

Over 0.5 Goals HT (Prediction: 79.00%)

The likelihood of at least one goal in the first half is considerably high. Both teams have attacking options capable of punishing early lapses, and the match’s average goal rate suggests an open start may be favored as both sides look to capitalize before defensive lines settle.

Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half (Prediction: 78.00%)

Expect a cautious opening from one of the teams, likely aiming to frustrate the opposition and avoid an early setback. This aligns with typical top-six Serie A encounters, especially where tactical discipline is prioritized by either manager.

Over 1.5 Goals (Prediction: 73.00%)

A high probability for over 1.5 goals suggests the game will open up, particularly after the first goal, allowing for clearer attacking patterns and attempts to control possession in the final third.

Under 5.5 Cards (Prediction: 72.00%) & Under 4.5 Cards (Prediction: 51.00%)

Discipline is a key theme, as the match is predicted to avoid excessive bookings. Both teams have shown composure, so only pivotal moments or tactical fouling might draw yellow cards, keeping the total cards well below the typical threshold.

Home Team To Score in 2nd Half (Prediction: 71.00%)

Roma’s ability to find the net after the break stands out. The home side tends to grow into matches, especially in front of their fans, exploiting tired legs and tactical gaps left by Fiorentina as they chase a result.

First Goal Between Minute 0-29 (Prediction: 61.00%)

Early action is on the cards with over a 60% chance of a first strike before the half-hour mark. Watch for aggressive opening pushes or set-piece efficiency.

Away Team To Score In 1st Half (Prediction: 56.00%)

Fiorentina possesses the attacking potential to strike before halftime if Roma leaves space while pressing forward. Quick transitions or wide play could lead to an away goal in the opening interval.

Over 2.5 Goals (Prediction: 55.00%)

With a moderate-to-high chance of at least three goals, bettors should consider both teams’ offensive energy, especially if an early goal forces a more expansive contest.

Last Goal Minute 0-72 (Prediction: 55.00%)

Goals are expected before the late stages, indicating a possibility of a more locked-down last twenty minutes as teams either protect a lead or become risk-averse.

Home Team Not To Score In 1st Half (Prediction: 53.00%)

Roma could face a resolute Fiorentina defence early, and while they are likely to score later, breaking through immediately might prove difficult with disciplined visitors.

Both Teams To Score (Prediction: 52.00%)

While not guaranteed, there remains a fair shot of both teams registering, especially if the match opens up, leading to end-to-end action in the second half.

Home Team To Win (Prediction: 51.00%)

Roma’s slight advantage at home, combined with their consistent scoring record and defensive organization, make them marginal favorites. However, the winning probability suggests a closely contested affair, open to in-game developments and strategic adjustments.

Additional Expert Predictions

  • Second Half Separation: Expect the pivotal moments and possible match winner to emerge in the second half, with Roma’s tactical experience potentially tipping the balance.
  • Key Players: Watch for Roma’s creative midfielders to control tempo and Fiorentina’s wingers to exploit any gaps on transitions.
  • Set Pieces: With disciplined defending and fewer cards, set pieces may be decisive, especially if clear-cut chances are scarce in open play.
  • Draw Possible: Given the tight statistical spread, a draw remains a credible outcome, particularly if both teams score early and then settle into organized shapes.