Newell’s Old Boys (w) vs Vélez Sarsfield (w)

Expert Overview

Newell’s Old Boys (w) face Vélez Sarsfield (w) on 2025-05-13 at 18:00 in a matchup marked by strong defensive trends and moderate offensive output. Key data points – such as high probabilities for “both teams not to score” in both halves and average combined goals of just 2.00 – suggest a tactical contest likely defined by defensive solidity and limited scoring from either side. This further aligns with the relatively low averages in goals scored (1.17) and conceded (0.83), hinting at a tight, potentially low-scoring fixture.

Both Teams Not To Score (1st Half & 2nd Half)

The probability of both teams not scoring in the 1st half and 2nd half stands at an exceptionally high 92.00%. This indicates a consensus that at least one team will keep a clean sheet during both periods. Both sides are likely to prioritize defensive organization early and maintain discipline throughout, making for a match where breakthrough moments will be rare, especially before halftime.

Over 0.5 Goals (First Half)

The odds for over 0.5 goals at halftime are 75.00%, an interesting juxtaposition given the conservative scoring forecast overall. This suggests a slight lean toward at least one finding the net before the break, but with the “Both Teams Not To Score” so high, this would likely come from a single breakthrough rather than open play from both sides.

Both Teams Not to Score (Full Match)

Similarly, the match odds for both teams not to score are 75.00%, underscoring the expectation of at least one team being held scoreless. Backing a clean sheet for either the home or away team remains a sensible prediction, consistent with season averages and tactical styles.

Under 2.5 Goals

With a 75.00% probability for under 2.5 total goals, experts anticipate a disciplined affair unlikely to become a high-scoring battle. Average total goals per match aligns closely with this call, reinforcing the likelihood of a 1-0 or 1-1 finish.

Team-Specific Score Predictions

• Away Team Not To Score (1st Half & 2nd Half): With the probability sitting at 67.00% for each half, Vélez Sarsfield (w) may struggle to break the home defense. This is especially relevant in the first 45 minutes, possibly making Newell’s Old Boys (w) favorites to control the start.
• Home Team To Win: Standing at 58.00%, Newell’s Old Boys (w) edge ahead as favorites, likely capitalizing on their offensive efficiency and defensive consistency.

Goals Market

Over 1.5 goals sits at 58.00%, only a slim majority, suggesting that while a single goal is probable, two or more is only slightly favored. The average goal stats back up this careful optimism without predicting a free-scoring contest.

Additional Expert Predictions

• Best bet: Under 2.5 goals, with solid defensive records on both sides and low average scoring rates.
• Side bet: Home clean sheet – considering Vélez Sarsfield (w)’s likelihood of failing to score in each half and overall goal averages.
• Correct score forecast: 1-0 or 2-0 home win, reflecting defensive discipline and slightly stronger home advantage.
• Low risk: Both teams not to score – supported by all primary probabilities and recent performances.