Premier League Championship Round stats & predictions

Al Ahed – The In-Form Favorites

Al Ahed enter tomorrow’s fixture on a remarkable run, boasting an unbeaten streak that has cemented their position as favorites for the title. Their defensive organization is unmatched in the league, having conceded the fewest goals during the Championship Round. Offensively, they rely on swift counterattacks and set-piece proficiency.

• Last 5 matches: 4 wins, 1 draw
• Key player: Mohamad Haidar (creative midfield role)
• Recent H2H with Nejmeh SC: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss

Nejmeh SC – Chasing the Crown

Nejmeh SC, perennial giants of Lebanese football, find themselves in a must-win scenario. After a stuttering start to the Championship Round, they’ve stabilized with impressive victories over recent fixtures. The return of their top striker from injury could provide the edge required to unlock Al Ahed’s stubborn defense.

• Last 5 matches: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat
• Key player: Khalil Bader (pace and finishing ability)
• Average goals per match (Championship Round): 2.1

Al Ansar – The Resurgent Contenders

After midseason turmoil, Al Ansar have emerged as dark horses in the Championship Round. Investing in young talent and blending technical skill with tactical discipline, their recent surge up the standings has inspired confidence and renewed title talks.

• Last 5 matches: 4 wins, 1 draw
• Goals scored in last 3 matches: 7
• Strength: Dominant wing play

Shabab Al Sahel – The Underdogs

Shabab Al Sahel have relished their underdog status, pulling off surprise results throughout the season. Their defensive solidity often frustrates opposition, but they’ve struggled to consistently find the net against the league’s elite.

• Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss
• Shutouts kept: 3 in last 6 games
• Weakness: Limited attacking options

Al Bourj FC & Al Nabi Sheet – Battle for Pride

With slim chances of making a late push for the title, both Al Bourj FC and Al Nabi Sheet are playing for prestige, future spots, and to spoil the party for their more decorated rivals. Expect an open games as both sides seek to entertain and stake a claim for next season.

• Al Bourj FC: Known for high-press style and quick transitions
• Al Nabi Sheet: Compact midfield and dangerous from set-pieces

Midfield Maestros Dictating Play

The Championship Round’s outcome often hinges on control in the middle of the park. For Al Ahed, Mohamad Haidar’s ability to dictate tempo and supply through-balls will be paramount. Nejmeh counters with Bilal Najdi, whose box-to-box energy often tilts close encounters.

Defensive Rocks

Defenses have historically dominated this stage of the league. Al Ahed’s center-back pairing is in exceptional form, providing a tough challenge for Nejmeh’s attackers. For Al Ansar and Shabab Al Sahel, the battle will likely be won or lost in their ability to neutralize wingers and protect against counter-attacks.

Scoring Trends

• Average goals per match (Championship Round): 2.3
• Al Ahed: Have scored in 92% of matches this stage
• Nejmeh SC: Both teams have scored in 4 of their last 5 fixtures
• Al Ansar: Only one clean sheet in last seven games
• Shabab Al Sahel: Under 2.5 goals in 4 of last 6 matches

Form Guide: Home vs. Away

• Home advantage: Teams have won 60% of their home fixtures in the Championship Round
• Travel factor: Teams on the road average just 0.80 points per match

Al Ahed vs Nejmeh SC

• Total matches since 2018: 10
• Al Ahed wins: 5
• Nejmeh wins: 2
• Draws: 3

Al Ansar vs Shabab Al Sahel

• Total matches since 2018: 8
• Al Ansar wins: 5
• Draws: 3
• Shabab Al Sahel wins: 0

Al Ahed vs Nejmeh SC: Prediction and Betting Tip

With Al Ahed enjoying strong home advantage, an imperious defense, and history on their side, bookmakers may slightly favor a home win. But Nejmeh’s urgency could expose space and produce an open contest—particularly if they score early.

• Expert Prediction: Al Ahed to win or draw (Double Chance)
• Correct Score Tip: 1-0 or 1-1
• Goals Market: Under 2.5 goals (historically low-scoring fixtures)
• BTTS (Both Teams to Score): No (Al Ahed defense usually holds firm)

Al Ansar vs Shabab Al Sahel: Prediction and Betting Tip

Given Al Ansar’s excellent recent form and attacking rhythm, expect them to control possession and tempo. Shabab Al Sahel’s disciplined backline could restrict chances, but Al Ansar’s firepower and tactical superiority may ultimately tell.

• Expert Prediction: Al Ansar to win
• Alternative Play: Al Ansar to score over 1.5 goals
• Asian Handicap: Al Ansar -1
• Goal Range: 2-3 total match goals

Al Bourj FC vs Al Nabi Sheet: Prediction and Betting Tip

This clash could be much more open, with neither side under immense pressure. Expect attacking football and less tactical rigidity, often leading to errors and high-scoring opportunities.

• Expert Prediction: Draw or Al Bourj FC to win
• Goals Market: Over 2.5 goals
• Corners/Set Pieces: High expected as both teams rely on wide play
• Special Bet: Both teams to score (BTTS: Yes)

Momentum Swings

Live bettors should watch for in-game tactical switches—such as Nejmeh pushing full-backs higher if chasing the game or Shabab Al Sahel parking the bus if they go ahead. Team news and late lineup announcements can also create value in in-play odds.

Late Goals

The Championship Round has seen a surge in goals scored from the 75th minute onward. Stamina and subs become crucial late, particularly for teams needing a win.

• Live Tip: Back a goal after 70 minutes in tight encounters, especially for Al Ansar and Nejmeh SC

Single vs. Accumulator Bets

While accumulators offer higher rewards, Lebanese matches (especially derbies or high-stakes encounters) can be unpredictable. Many experts back singles on main markets—such as Win/Draw/Win or Over/Under goals—to reduce variance and maximize returns over time.

Value Hunt: Where Are the Best Odds?

• Lesser-known leagues: Value often lies in markets where bookmakers have less information. Monitor early line moves and team news vigilantly.
• Cards and Corners: Especially in derbies and matches with traditional rivalries (Ahed vs Nejmeh), these markets can provide high expected value (EV).