Le Havre vs Marseille

Expert Overview: Le Havre vs Marseille (2025-05-10, 19:00)

This Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Marseille promises a dynamic encounter, driven by statistical trends suggesting high goal involvement and disciplined play. Both teams have contributed to an average total of 3.28 goals per match, with Marseille showing a particular tendency to score in the second half. Disciplinary records point toward a controlled contest, as evidenced by low average values for yellow (1.59) and red cards (0.10). The metrics suggest that Marseille’s attacking depth and Le Havre’s unpredictable defense could combine for an open, entertaining match.

Over 1.5 Goals: 88%

With an 88% probability for over 1.5 goals and an average total goals figure well above the threshold (3.28), this appears to be the strongest trend in the prediction set. Both teams have sufficiently leaky defenses and potent attacks to comfortably surpass the 1.5 mark. An early-opener could make this bet almost inevitable before the final whistle.

Over 0.5 Goals in 1st Half: 81%

The expectation for at least one first-half goal is high at 81%. Marseille often start well, and Le Havre’s defensive record supports the possibility of an early breakthrough. Attacking intent from both sides should ensure lively opening exchanges.

Under 5.5 Cards: 81%

With just 1.59 yellow cards on average and an extremely low red card rate, discipline seems likely to prevail. Players on both teams are statistically unlikely to accumulate bookings, suggesting a technical game over a physical contest.

Away Team to Score in 2nd Half: 75%

Marseille’s offensive pressure tends to increase after the interval. Their tactical balance and squad depth afford them substantial threat in the latter stages, making a second-half away goal highly plausible.

Both Teams Not to Score in 1st/2nd Half: 72%

Despite strong prospects for overall goals, the probability that both teams don’t score in each half hovers at 72%. This implies goal distribution may be staggered, with dominant spells from one team per half.

Over 2.5 Goals: 69%

The likelihood of three or more goals aligns with the attacking stats and expected game tempo. Both teams’ defensive vulnerabilities and offensive strengths make this another stand-out prediction for fans and bettors looking for action.

Home Team Not to Score in 2nd Half: 69%

Le Havre have struggled to make scoring impact after halftime, as reflected in a 69% probability of them failing to score in the second period. Marseille’s defensive focus post-interval could reinforce this trend.

First Goal Between Minutes 0-29: 66%

Early goal frequency is strong, with a two-thirds chance the opening goal arrives before the half-hour mark. This fits well with both teams’ habit of aggressive early phases.

Under 4.5 Cards: 66%

The clean disciplinary record supports a confident call for under 4.5 cards, reinforcing expectations of a flowing and fair match.

Away Team to Win: 63%

Marseille’s historical superiority, squad quality, and offensive trends sway the likely outcome in their favor. With a 63% chance, they are set as marginal but clear favorites on the road.

Away Team Not to Score in 1st Half: 63%

Despite Marseille’s overall strength, there’s a noteworthy probability they don’t find the net before halftime. This could indicate tactical caution or Le Havre’s tendency for compact defensive starts.

Last Goal After 73+ Minutes: 59%

The chance of late drama is significant, reflecting tendencies of both teams to maintain attacking output deep into the match. Fitness and bench strength for Marseille could be decisive.

Both Teams to Score: 56%

There’s a better-than-even chance for both teams to register at least one goal, though not necessarily in both halves. Both attacks are capable of capitalizing on defensive slip-ups.

Home Team Not to Score in 1st Half: 56%

Le Havre may struggle to convert early opportunities, with Marseille likely to focus on a tight defensive shape in the opening minutes. This slows the home team’s pathway to the scoresheet before halftime.

Goal in the Last 15 Minutes: 53%

The data shows a solid chance of a late goal, likely spurred by tactical shifts, substitutions, and the need for a decisive result. A lively closing period is expected.

Additional Expert Predictions

• Correct Score Prediction: 1-2 in favor of Marseille, reflecting both goal trends and away win probability.
• Most Likely Scorer: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Marseille), given his recent form and penchant for second-half goals.
• Likely Periods for Goals: Early first half (0-30 min) and final 20 minutes, suggesting dynamic bookends to the match.
• Game Style: Open and attacking, but with structured defensive phases leading to scoring in bursts rather than steady exchange.