KF Gostivari vs Pelister

Expert Overview

The upcoming fixture between KF Gostivari and Pelister, scheduled for May 4th, 2025, offers a matchup where defensive discipline and relatively low scoring averages are expected to characterize the proceedings. The statistical overview, with an average total goals tally of only 2.31 per match and closely matched average goals scored (1.12) and conceded (1.19), suggests both teams may focus on structured play rather than open attacking football. This underlying data, coupled with a minimal red card rate (0.14), points towards a tightly contested encounter, where marginal advantages could prove decisive.

Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half (Probability: 86%)

There is a notably high probability that at least one side fails to register a goal before halftime. The low average goals per match and defensive setups from both sides provide strong backing for this prediction. Early caution and focus on not conceding might outweigh attacking risk-taking prior to the break.

Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half (Probability: 80%)

Pelister’s attack appears likely to struggle in the opening 45 minutes. This reflects trends in previous matches and suggests Gostivari’s defense will hold firm early. Expect the home team to control the tempo and absorb pressure during the initial stages.

Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half (Probability: 79%)

A secondary shutout in one or both directions after halftime is highly probable. Whether teams tighten up to protect a result or lack offensive bite, the data points towards extended periods of scoreless play in the latter stages.

Away Team Not To Score In 2nd Half (Probability: 67%)

With Pelister less likely to find the net after halftime, either due to fatigue or tighter defensive shapes from Gostivari, the away side’s scoring opportunities are expected to be limited as the game progresses.

Last Goal 73+ Minutes, Goal In Last 15/10 Minutes (Probabilities: 66%, 59%, 59%)

The probability of a late twist is substantial. Goals in the final 10 to 15 minutes, as well as after the 73rd minute, are statistically favored, which aligns with matches that remain tense and unresolved heading into the closing stages. Tactical changes or increased urgency could produce decisive moments late on.

Over 1.5 Goals (Probability: 62%)

While the match is likely to be cagey, there is over a 60% chance that at least two goals are scored. This could stem from late-game openings, set pieces, or individual errors breaking a defensive deadlock.

Both Teams Not to Score, Under 2.5 Goals (Probabilities: 59%, 59%)

One or both teams failing to score, coupled with a strong likelihood of under 2.5 total goals, points towards a final scoreline such as 1-0 or 2-0. Defensive stability is favored, reducing the chances of an open, high-scoring contest.

Home Team To Win (Probability: 58%)

Gostivari holds a moderate advantage overall. Their home record and the likelihood of shutting Pelister out for long periods make them the favored side, especially if a late goal breaks the deadlock.

Additional Expert Predictions

• Look for a tactical chess match in midfield, with both teams preferring control over risk.
• The first half may see very few clear-cut chances, enhancing the value of draw or under selections before the break.
• Substitutions around the 60th-75th minute could increase attacking impetus and the threat of a late goal.
• Disciplinary action is expected to be limited, contributing to a smooth-flowing match with few stoppages.
• If either side scores first, expect the other to increase risks only very late, which could open space for decisive counterattacks near the end.