General Match Overview: Empoli vs Lazio
The Empoli vs Lazio fixture preview for May 4th, 2025, projects a battle where defensive discipline and structured play are likely to dominate the narrative. The statistical backdrop reveals moderate scoring trends, with an average of just 2.26 goals per match and neither side particularly prolific in front of goal—Empoli with only 0.95 goals scored on average, and a goals conceded figure of 1.31. The discipline data is noteworthy as well, with an average of just 1.72 yellow cards and a low red card rate at 0.15, hinting at a hard-fought but likely controlled contest. Given Lazio’s superior roster and deeper squad, they have the edge, although emphatic scorelines are not expected.
Empoli
Lazio
(FT)
Predictions:
| Market | Prediction | Odd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half | 97.00% | (0-1) 0-1 1H 1.15 | |
| Home Team Not To Score In 1st Half | 88.00% | (0-1) | |
| Home Team Not To Score In 2nd Half | 75.00% | (0-1) | |
| Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half | 70.00% | (0-1) 0-0 2H 1.29 | |
| Away Team To Score In 2nd Half | 65.00% | (0-1) | |
| Both Teams Not to Score | 61.00% | (0-1) 1.91 | |
| Under 5.5 Cards | 61.00% | (0-1) | |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 60.00% | (0-1) 1.36 | |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55.00% | (0-1) 1.85 | |
| Over 0.5 Goals HT | 54.00% | (0-1) 0-1 1H 1.47 | |
| Away Team To Win | 54.00% | (0-1) 1.86 | |
| Away Team To Score In 1st Half | 53.00% | (0-1) | |
| Last Goal 73+ Minutes | 51.00% | (0-1) 1.83 | |
| Over 4.5 Cards | 51.00% | (0-1) | |
| Avg. Total Goals | 2.26% | (0-1) | |
| Yellow Cards | 1.72% | (0-1) | |
| Avg. Conceded Goals | 1.31% | (0-1) | |
| Avg. Goals Scored | 0.95% | (0-1) | |
| Red Cards | 0.15% | (0-1) |
Betting List Analysis
Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half: 97.00
This is the most statistically probable scenario based on predictive modeling. Both teams are defensively disciplined in the opening stages, with Empoli in particular favoring a cautious approach. Lazio, while capable of early breakthroughs, often builds into matches. The data suggest that a goalless opening 45 minutes is extremely likely.
Home Team Not To Score In 1st Half: 88.00
Empoli has consistently struggled to make early impacts during this campaign, evidenced by their low average goals scored. Facing a well-drilled Lazio side, the probability of Empoli failing to find a first-half goal stands at an exceptionally high level. Lazio’s defensive structure, particularly with their midfield shielding, supports this projection.
Home Team Not To Score In 2nd Half: 75.00
While Empoli has marginally better attacking numbers in the second period, they are still expected to face significant resistance from Lazio, who often close matches efficiently. This makes another scoreless half for the home team quite likely, especially if Lazio has something to protect.
Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half: 70.00
An expectation of minimal second-half fireworks aligns with the overall match statistics. Both sides rarely get involved in open, high-scoring second periods. The game scenario may see a locked-down game as the final whistle approaches, with at least one team likely failing to score after halftime.
Away Team To Score In 2nd Half: 65.00
Lazio’s tactical approach often sees them pressing harder after the interval, capitalizing on opposition fatigue. Their technical superiority and superior depth make a late goal from the visitors a reasonable expectation, particularly as the match opens up.
Both Teams Not to Score: 61.00
The collective numbers point to a likely scenario where at least one team draws a blank. With Empoli’s attacking challenges and Lazio’s structural solidity, a clean sheet is more probable than usual, especially away from home.
Under 5.5 Cards: 61.00
With both sides averaging just over 1.7 yellow cards per game and rare sending-offs, this fixture does not profile as an ill-tempered or disciplinary-heavy clash. Expect a disciplined encounter staying under six total cards.
Over 1.5 Goals: 60.00 | Under 2.5 Goals: 55.00
The overlap in probabilities for both these outcomes suggests a tight match most likely finishing with two goals—potentially a 1-1 draw or a narrow 2-0 result. Scoring may happen, but fireworks are unlikely, and goals may be at a premium.
Over 0.5 Goals HT: 54.00
Despite the high likelihood of a goalless first half, there is still a slightly better than even chance of seeing at least one goal before halftime. If any side scores early, it’s likely to be Lazio from a set-piece or transitional play.
Away Team To Win: 54.00
Lazio’s overall form, squad depth, and attacking quality have them favored, albeit not overwhelmingly. The outcome should trend in their favor if they maintain defensive poise while exploiting Empoli’s vulnerabilities.
Away Team To Score In 1st Half: 53.00
A marginally better than 50/50 chance supports Lazio’s ability to find the net early, possibly through pressing or a defensive lapse from Empoli. Given trends, however, any first-half goal will probably be the result of individual brilliance or a set-piece.
Last Goal 73+ Minutes: 51.00
The statistical model shows a coin-flip probability for a late goal. This may indicate both teams’ propensity to press for the result late, particularly if the scoreline remains tight.
Over 4.5 Cards: 51.00
The potential for moderate card accumulation is present, but the likely discipline and control exercised by both teams make five or more cards only slightly probable. Expect a competitive yet fair contest.
Additional Expert Predictions
- Correct Score: 0-1 or 0-2 in favor of Lazio appears most probable, reflecting Empoli’s limited attacking threat and Lazio’s disciplined setup.
- Key Player Impact: Lazio’s midfielders and full-backs could be decisive, especially in transition phases and set-pieces.
- Discipline Factor: The match should stay below average for cards; any increase would likely come from late-match tactical fouling if one team is desperately holding a lead.
- Game Flow: Expect a cagey, tactical opening half with tempo increasing as both sides look for a breakthrough in the latter stages.