Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets Razgrad

Expert Overview: Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets Razgrad

This match between Cherno More Varna and Ludogorets Razgrad on May 13, 2025, is set to be a tactical battle, featuring two of Bulgaria’s most competitive teams. Ludogorets are the perennial champions and favorites, yet Cherno More Varna has shown resilience and the ability to frustrate big opponents, especially on home soil. The statistical probabilities suggest a tightly contested encounter with a high likelihood of seeing at least a couple of goals, but with caution in attacking play from both sides.

Over 1.5 Goals: Probability 88.00%

The likelihood of seeing more than 1.5 goals is exceptionally high, indicating both teams have attacking setups capable of producing goals. Ludogorets’ strong offensive unit and Cherno More’s willingness to play forward at home suggest this total could be reached comfortably, especially given their respective league positions and head-to-head records.

Under 2.5 Goals: Probability 88.00%

Despite an attacking outlook, the match is also expected to stay relatively tight, with an 88% chance of under 2.5 goals. This paradox reflects both sides’ defensive discipline and the tendency for their direct clashes to be cautious affairs. A low-scoring but hard-fought contest is strongly forecast.

Both Teams to Score: Probability 75.00%

With a 75% probability, it’s highly likely that both Cherno More and Ludogorets will find the net. Both teams have been consistent scorers this season. Defensive slips or high pressing could open up chances at both ends, pointing towards a competitive fixture where each side gets its opportunity.

Under 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score: Probability 63.00%

There is a notable probability (63%) of the match finishing with both teams scoring, while total goals remain under 2.5. This outcome traditionally points to a 1-1 result—a reflection of mutual respect, solid defenses, and measured risks in attack.

Draw in Final Result: Probability 63.00%

The chance of a draw at 63% aligns with other predictions—suggesting a balanced, tightly contested match where neither team has a pronounced upper hand. Both sides may settle for a point, particularly if the match remains level late on.

Additional Expert Predictions

• Correct Score Tip: 1-1 is the most probable result given the strong indicators for both teams scoring but total under 2.5 goals.
• First Team to Score: Ludogorets may have a slight edge to open the scoring, owing to their experience and quality in the final third.
• Disciplinary Outlook: Expect a physical, possibly card-heavy contest as both teams seek to impose themselves tactically.