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Chabab Mohammedia vs Ittihad Tanger

General Expert Overview

The upcoming fixture between Chabab Mohammedia and Ittihad Tanger on 2025-05-04 at 19:00 presents a clash between two sides with low goal statistics and strong defensive patterns. The average total goals per match sits at 2.65, but the home team has a particularly low average goals scored at just 0.66 and tends to concede around 2.00 per game. The probability of significant offensive breakthroughs is limited, making this encounter highly likely to be shaped by tactical discipline and few clear scoring opportunities.

Chabab Mohammedia

LLLLL
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Ittihad Tanger

WLLLD
Date: 2025-05-04
Time: 19:00
(FT)
Venue: Stade Al Bachir
Score: 1-2

Home Team Not To Score In 1st Half: 99.00%

The staggering 99% likelihood of Chabab Mohammedia failing to score in the first half indicates their persistent struggle for attacking impact early in matches. This suggests a cautious approach and limited penetration, making it very probable for the first half to end without a home goal. Bettors should consider this market as one of the most secure, reflecting the team’s inability to break down opposition defenses before halftime.

Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half: 92.00%

With a 92% chance of both sides not scoring before the break, this fixture is predicted to open with defensive caution and unlikely attacking events. The first half could turn tactical, with both coaches focusing on shape and solidity rather than risk-taking, resulting in low entertainment value for early goal seekers.

Over 1.5 Goals: 73.00%

The probability of over 1.5 goals occurring is relatively high at 73%, hinting that scoring will likely open up more after halftime as both sides pursue more aggressive play. Despite the expected dry first half, the tactical risk in the latter stages could allow for two or more goals to be scored across the match.

Home Team Not To Score In 2nd Half: 69.00%

Chabab Mohammedia are given a 69% chance of not finding the net after the interval, pointing to underwhelming attacking resources throughout the match. Their inability to capitalize on second-half momentum should concern fans and further supports markets favoring low home team scoring.

Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half: 69.00%

A similar 69% chance for both teams not to score in the second half underscores the clinical nature, or rather the lack thereof, from both sides. Even as the game opens up, attacking efficiency may remain low, continuing the first half’s theme of defensive supremacy.

Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half: 62.00%

The away side, Ittihad Tanger, also exhibits a 62% probability of not scoring before halftime, indicating that both teams could reach the break goalless. The focus for Ittihad Tanger might be containment in the opening phase rather than proactive offense.

Over 0.5 Goals HT: 58.00%

The market for over 0.5 goals in the first half stands at just 58%, emphasizing a near-even split between defensive solidity and the occasional breakthrough. Expect a slow tempo early, but a single strike remains within the realm of possibility.

First Goal 30+ Minutes: 58.00%

The projection that the first goal will arrive after 30+ minutes (58%) aligns with the expectation of a cautious opening, with both teams possibly neutralizing each other for the first half hour or longer. Patience is required for goal watchers.

Away Team To Win: 54.00%

Ittihad Tanger’s 54% chance of victory marks them as marginal favorites. Coupled with the home side’s lack of goal threat, the away team is expected to capitalize on small margins, possibly securing all three points through defensive stability and opportunistic play.

Both Teams Not To Score: 54.00%

Over half the scenarios result in one or both teams failing to score, which again emphasizes the underwhelming attacking form on show. This makes the ‘Both Teams Not To Score’ market another realistic proposition for this match-up.

Away Team Not To Score In 2nd Half: 54.00%

Despite being favored overall, Ittihad Tanger’s likelihood of not scoring after halftime is equally split (54%). This could imply a defensive stance or a shift in approach after potentially establishing a lead, keeping the game tight until the final whistle.

Additional Expert Predictions

  • Expect a low-scoring contest with high probability of a goalless first half and defenses dominating early proceedings.
  • The most significant action and majority of goals, if any, are likely to occur in the second half as teams open up, particularly if the deadlock gets broken past the 30-minute mark.
  • Watch for Ittihad Tanger to edge out a narrow win, most likely in a close and scrappy affair with opportunities primarily coming from set pieces or transition plays.
  • The low disciplinary record (average red cards at 0.12) points to a potentially controlled and well-tempered game, reducing the likelihood of late drama due to dismissals.
  • Chabab Mohammedia’s attack is the critical weak point, so backing them to not score in either half remains a value angle from these metrics.