Brest vs Lille

General Overview & Match Context

The upcoming Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lille on May 10, 2025, stands out as an intriguing fixture with significant tactical and statistical narratives at play. Brest’s offensive output is reflected in their average of 1.56 goals scored per match and 1.16 goals conceded, indicating competitive balance and relative solidity in defense. Lille, as a historically strong Ligue 1 contender, brings disciplined defending, while both teams are inclined toward matches with moderate goal outcomes (average total goals: 2.72 per game). The data supports the expectation for a contest marked by efficient attacking and a measured, tactical approach rather than an open, high-scoring affair.

Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half (81%)

There is a very strong probability that at least one team will fail to score in the first half. This suggests both Brest and Lille typically adopt cautious opening strategies, prioritizing defensive structure over aggressive attacking. Given the tendencies of both sides to be compact early on, a goalless or one-sided first half is highly likely.

Over 1.5 Goals (78%)

With a high average of 2.72 total goals per match, the expectation is for at least two goals in this fixture. Attacking quality and consistent threat from both squads make this probability statistically valid, even if the opening half is more reserved.

Over 0.5 Goals at Half-Time (78%)

It is highly probable that the first half will not end goalless, despite the strong trend for at least one side to be defensively resolute. Moments of individual quality or set-piece danger make an early goal likelier than a wholly blank first half.

Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half (75%)

Similar to the first half, the prospect of only one team scoring (or neither) in the second period is statistically reinforced. It reflects a trend where games could open up after the break, but still see uneven attacking returns from both sides.

Under 5.5 Cards (75%)

Discipline is a notable factor in this match. Both Brest and Lille average just over 2 yellow cards per game combined, and red cards are rare. The chances of witnessing a heated, ill-tempered contest with excessive bookings are low, supporting a prediction under 5.5 cards in total.

Home Team To Score In 1st Half (69%)

Brest’s attacking record offers a good probability of finding the net before halftime. Their intent at home and ability to press early can trouble Lille’s defense.

First Goal Between Minute 0-29 (63%)

Early goals are quite probable. Both teams have the offensive weaponry to break deadlocks promptly, and a goal before the half-hour mark would not be a surprise.

Last Goal After 73 Minutes (63%)

Late drama is also anticipated, possibly due to tactical shifts or increased risk-taking if the game is level or one team is chasing. Substitutions and tired legs could contribute to late chances.

Home Team To Score In 2nd Half (63%)

Brest are well positioned to maintain their offensive threat into the latter stages, especially as Lille may be more stretched and vulnerable after the break.

Goal In Last 15 Minutes (59%)

A further layer to late-match action—the likelihood of a goal in the closing 15 minutes reflects either side’s ability to find decisive moments as fatigue and strategic changes affect the contest.

Away Team To Score In 2nd Half (56%)

Lille’s strong away performance often sees them create opportunities in the second half as they find space behind tiring defenses. Their technical proficiency suggests that a breakthrough in the latter stages is realistic.

Over 4.5 Cards (53%)

While major card accumulation is unlikely, the physicality of both teams in a potentially tight match could edge the count over the 4.5 line, albeit this is not as certain as the under 5.5 cards prediction.

Additional Expert Predictions

• Match Winner: This is likely to be a balanced contest, but Brest’s home advantage—combined with their capacity to score in both halves—makes them slight favorites over Lille.
• Clean Sheet Probability: Odds for either team to keep a clean sheet are reduced given the trends in goal scoring from both sides, particularly in second halves.
• Expected Match Rhythm: Tight and cautious opening, with a notable lift in tempo post-60 minutes, leading to potential late goals and decisive moments in the match’s final third.
• Discipline Factor: Foul play will likely be within normal bounds, making a red card or card-heavy clash unlikely. Refereeing is not expected to be a primary talking point.