Auxerre vs Nantes

Expert Overview: Auxerre vs Nantes

This Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Nantes, scheduled for May 10, 2025, at 19:00, is shaping up to be a compelling fixture based on current predictive metrics. Both teams enter with relatively balanced attacking and defensive numbers: an average of 2.85 goals per match indicates a healthy offensive dynamic, while both sides concede and score at similar rates (1.53 and 1.31 respectively). The average card count is low (2.03 yellows, 0.10 reds), suggesting disciplined play with lesser risk of disruptions due to bookings – a key note for under/over card bets. The relatively high probability of goals, combined with cautious discipline, suggests a match that could feature open play rather than aggressive tactics.

Under 5.5 Cards

With an 84% prediction for under 5.5 cards and the data supporting a low yellow card average (2.03), expect this game to have few disciplinary interruptions. Both sides typically keep cool heads, and there’s also a notably low occurrence of red cards. This creates a strong argument for a clean, flowing match without a high risk of suspensions or late fouls impacting play.

Over 1.5 Goals

Given an 81% probability, over 1.5 goals is a strong selection. Both Auxerre and Nantes combine for an average nearing 3 goals per match, bolstered by relatively balanced offensive and defensive stats. Expect both teams to create chances, and the flow of play should favor multiple goals across the 90 minutes.

Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half

With a high probability of 72%, it’s predicted that at least one side will fail to score after halftime. This reflects the possibility of tactical adjustments and defensive solidity in the second period. If one team establishes a lead early, expect them to focus on game management, closing down space and limiting scoring chances in the latter stages.

Over 0.5 Goals HT

At 69%, the probability of at least one goal before halftime is significant. With aggressive starts typical for both squads, cover on this market is logical—early opportunities and pressing are likely to translate into a goal during the first 45 minutes.

Home Team To Score In 2nd Half

Auxerre are tipped with a 69% chance to find the net after the break. Home clubs often intensify their attacking intent if level or trailing at halftime, and the stats support this with the home team’s offensive consistency. Expect Auxerre to press hard for a decisive goal in the latter stages.

Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half

With a 66% probability, expect a more measured or cautious start, possibly leading to only one side scoring in the opening half. Tactical caution, especially in important fixtures, can lead to a tightly contested first 45 minutes.

Both Teams To Score

63% suggests both teams are capable of breaking down each other’s defenses, especially as the match progresses. Recent form and goals scored per game make this market attractive for those seeking value.

Under 4.5 Cards

At 63%, and with average cautions very low, both sides have a profile of disciplined play. Unless the match becomes unexpectedly fiery, again expect few cards—mirroring the under 5.5 market but with slightly increased risk.

First Goal Between Minute 0-29

A 59% likelihood for an early opener lines up with the prediction for over 0.5 goals at half-time. Early goals can open up the match and force adjustments from both sides, so live action should be intense in the opening half-hour.

Late Goals Markets (Last Goal 73+ Minutes, Goal In Last 15/10 Minutes)

Multiple markets (all at 56-59%) predict a strong chance of late action, which fits the trend in high-stakes or evenly matched games where closing minutes see defensive lapses or urgent attacking pushes. Both Auxerre and Nantes have the stamina and squad depth to maintain offensive threat late on.

Additional Expert Predictions

• Expect at least one goal in each half, with Auxerre likely to edge the second half offensively.
• Corner markets could see moderate activity: both teams create chances from wide areas but prefer patient buildup, so 8-10 corners in total is probable.
• First goal scorer markets: Watch for Auxerre’s main striker or Nantes’ fastest winger—both teams often rely on their key forwards early.
• Total shots on target: Given attacking tendencies, expect combined on-target attempts to exceed 9.