Mutondo Stars vs Zesco United

General Expert Overview

The upcoming match between Mutondo Stars and Zesco United on May 4, 2025, shapes up as a potentially low-scoring affair characterized by strong defensive tendencies from both teams. The predictive data points toward a cautious approach, with both teams generating more defensive solidity than attacking firepower in recent matches. The average total goals per game stands at 1.61, with neither side regularly producing high-scoring outcomes: average goals scored is only 0.72, and average goals conceded is equally modest at 0.90 per match.

Both Teams Not to Score in 1st Half: Probability 95.00%

With a staggering 95% probability that both teams will not score in the opening half, the data suggests a highly tentative start to the match. Defensive organization and conservative tactics are likely to dominate the opening 45 minutes, making an early goal rush very unlikely.

Home Team Not to Score in 2nd Half: Probability 82.00%

Mutondo Stars are expected to struggle offensively after halftime, with an 82% chance of failing to find the net in the second half. This trend underscores their limited attacking threat, particularly as the game progresses and Zesco United settles into defensive solidity.

Both Teams Not to Score in 2nd Half: Probability 81.00%

The likelihood that neither side will score after the break is high at 81%. This reflects a pattern of matches losing attacking fluency in the latter stages, with increased defensive focus from both sides, possibly influenced by fatigue or strategic adjustments.

Away Team Not to Score in 1st Half: Probability 80.00%

Zesco United faces long odds of breaking through early, carrying an 80% probability of failing to score in the opening half. Their initial approach is expected to be balanced or cautious, likely prioritizing risk minimization over aggressive offensive play.

Under 2.5 Goals: Probability 76.00%

This clash is statistically likely to finish with fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 76% chance according to the predictions. Given the teams’ low goal averages, significant attacking output seems improbable, pointing to a game with limited scoring opportunities.

Home Team Not to Score in 1st Half: Probability 64.00%

Mutondo Stars are also unlikely to score in the first half, with a 64% probability. This falls in line with their season-long offensive struggles and bolsters the expectation for a slow-burning, low-scoring first period.

Both Teams Not to Score: Probability 62.00%

Overall, there’s a solid chance that at least one team will end the match goalless—a scenario that is common for both sides this season. Fans should be prepared for periods of play where chances are at a premium.

Draw in First Half: Probability 58.00%

The match is tipped for a level scoreline at halftime (58% probability), consistent with the defensive expectations and the slim likelihood of early goals.

Under 0.5 Goals HT: Probability 58.00%

There’s a 58% chance of 0 goals in the first half, underlining expectations for a goalless opening 45 minutes and reinforcing the overall defensive outlook for this fixture.

Sum of Goals Under 2: Probability 53.00%

The combined probability for fewer than two total goals stands at 53%, supporting the forecast of a narrow final score with slim margins likely to decide the outcome.

Under 1.5 Goals: Probability 53.00%

With just over half the model predictions pointing towards under 1.5 goals, the likelihood of only one goal at most cannot be ignored. A 0-0 or 1-0 result appears realistic given both teams’ season-long scoring performance.

Additional Expert Predictions

• Final Score Prediction: A 0-0 or 1-0 (either way) is highly probable, reflecting the clubs’ defensive strengths and attacking inefficiencies.
• Recommended Bet: Both teams not to score for the full match, and under 1.5 or 2.5 goals as a safe, analytically grounded wager.
• Potential Key Moment: First-half discipline will be crucial; a rare early goal could force a reassessment of tactical priorities.