FC Akhmat Grozny vs CSKA Moscow

General Expert Overview

The matchup between FC Akhmat Grozny and CSKA Moscow on May 4, 2025, shapes up as a tense, tactical contest with both sides exhibiting relatively reserved attacking profiles. The data strongly hint at a measured affair, given the average goals per match (2.31), low rates of yellow and red cards (1.93 and 0.04 respectively), and a close balance in goals scored vs. conceded. CSKA Moscow, as the away team, seems likelier to control key attacking moments, particularly after halftime, while Akhmat Grozny may have to rely on defensive organization and transitional play.

Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half (85%)

With a strong probability for both teams not to find the net in the first half, the expert outlook expects caution early on. Both clubs have demonstrated defensive awareness in the opening 45 minutes in past fixtures. Neither is likely to over-commit before halftime, especially in a fixture with much at stake, amplifying the chances of a 0-0 halftime scoreline or a single team breaking through.

Over 1.5 Goals (73%) & Sum of Goals 2 or 3 (62%)

The market expectation veers towards at least moderate goal action (over 1.5), with most likely results being two or three goals in total. This is corroborated by the average total goals metric (2.31). The pattern fits a match where one team—primarily CSKA Moscow—edges ahead, but without either side running away with the contest. A 1-1 or 2-1/1-2 outcome is well within reason.

Away Team To Score In Both Halves (1st Half: 62%, 2nd Half: 69%)

CSKA Moscow shows a notable edge in finding the net during either half, especially post-interval. Momentum and tactical adjustments in the second half often work in their favor, making them a threat after the break. However, odds suggest CSKA is more likely to score after halftime than before, possibly capitalizing on tiring legs or a defensive lapse from Akhmat Grozny.

Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half (69%) & Home Team Not To Score in Halves (62%)

The projections indicate Akhmat Grozny may struggle to score, especially late in the game, with a 62% expectation they fail to hit the net in either half. Simultaneously, the chances of both teams scoring after halftime are low, signaling further defensive tightening and perhaps a pragmatic approach as the match progresses.

Under 2.5 Goals (54%) & Both Teams To Score (54%)

While the chances for two or three total goals are notable, there’s also a solid probability of the game ending under 2.5 goals. The “both teams to score” prediction sits at a similar likelihood, emphasizing a 1-1 or narrow 2-0/0-2 as the upper range of expected outcomes. The match leans more toward pragmatic exchanges than open attacking play.

Cards Market (Under 5.5 Cards: 65% and Under 4.5 Cards: 54%)

Discipline and controlled aggression should characterize the contest, with low average yellow and red card numbers suggesting a game unlikely to boil over. Expect a low card count, enhancing the attractiveness of unders markets in player bookings.

Additional Expert Predictions

• Correct Score Lean: 1-1 or 0-1 in favor of CSKA Moscow
• First Team To Score: CSKA Moscow more likely to score first, particularly after halftime
• Anytime Goalscorer: CSKA forward or attacking midfielder has higher scoring probability given Grozny’s projected struggles in front of goal
• Match Momentum: Expect a cagey start, with more openings and intensity increasing in the second half, especially if CSKA Moscow is chasing a result
• BTTS “No” at Half & Full Time: Value is strongest for both teams not scoring in the first half, and the full-time market could follow suit if one side takes early control