Carrarese vs Modena

Expert Overview: Carrarese vs Modena (2025-05-04, 13:00)

This fixture pits Carrarese against Modena in what promises to be a strategic, defense-focused match. Both teams come into the game with very similar defensive statistics, averaging nearly equal goals scored (1.17) and conceded (1.14). The overall expected goal tally is moderate at 2.31, hinting at a closely contested battle rather than an open, high-scoring affair. Card discipline is good, with yellow cards averaging 2.36 and a low 0.11 red card rate, suggesting a fair game with balanced physicality.

Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half: 78.00%

The likelihood of a goalless first half for either side is very high. Both teams tend to be cautious in their approach early in the game, prioritizing defensive solidity and risk minimization before halftime.

Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half: 78.00%

There is a similarly strong expectation for at least one team to fail to score in the second half. This pattern underlines the teams’ focus on defensive schemes, particularly as the match wears on and the stakes heighten.

Over 0.5 Goals HT: 67.00%

While clean early periods are common, there is still a noteworthy probability for at least one goal before halftime, indicating that brief lapses or set-piece situations could unlock defenses.

Over 1.5 Goals: 67.00%

Despite both teams’ defensive strengths, the match is expected to have more than a single goal in total, likely fueled by tactical adjustments and greater attacking intent as the match progresses.

Under 5.5 Cards: 67.00%

With clean disciplinary records and an average of 2.36 yellow cards per match, a low number of cards is a reasonable expectation. Neither side frequently gets involved in overly aggressive play.

Home Team Not To Score In 1st Half: 61.00%

Carrarese may struggle to break down Modena’s defense early on, contributing to the high probability that the hosts will not find the net before halftime.

Away Team Not To Score In 2nd Half: 61.00%

Modena’s offensive threat in the latter stages appears limited. The data suggests that if Carrarese manages to hold them in the first half, a clean sheet after the break is quite possible.

Under 2.5 Goals: 58.00%

Supporting the notion of a tightly fought match, the odds are in favor of a final scoreline featuring fewer than three goals.

Both Teams Not To Score: 56.00%

One side failing to score over the full 90 minutes is more probable than both scoring, further underlining the defensive quality on display.

Home Team To Score In 2nd Half: 56.00%

Despite potential early struggles, Carrarese’s probability of breaking through after halftime is above average, perhaps exploiting opposition fatigue or tactical changes.

Away Team To Score In 1st Half: 56.00%

Modena does have a notable chance of scoring before halftime. Set pieces or counter attacks might be key for the visitors to breach Carrarese’s defense.

Additional Expert Predictions

• Draw at Halftime: Given the strong defensive trend, a 0-0 or 1-1 halftime score is likely.
• Final Score Prediction: 1-1 or 1-0, reflecting the low scoring average and defensive strengths on both sides.
• Man of the Match: Likely to be a defensive player or goalkeeper, as individual defensive performances will be crucial.
• Few Fouls and High Ball Possession Battles: Given low card averages, expect more focus on organized play than physical confrontations.