Brest vs Montpellier

Expert Overview

This Ligue 1 fixture between Brest and Montpellier on May 4th, 2025, promises a closely contested match. The overall statistics point to a balanced encounter, with Brest holding a slight edge due to their attacking output. The expected average total goals (2.97) suggests that spectators should witness a moderately open game, and the relatively low number of yellow cards (2.17) indicates a fair contest in terms of discipline. Defensively, both sides have vulnerabilities, as indicated by an average of 1.83 goals conceded per game, hinting at opportunities for both attacking lines.

Under 5.5 Cards (87% Probability)

The data shows an average of 2.17 yellow cards and 0.10 red cards per match, supporting the high probability (87%) of under 5.5 cards being shown. Both teams seem disciplined, and unless tempers flare in a tense phase of the game, bookings should remain well below this threshold. This trend is reinforced by both teams’ recent match history.

Away Team Not To Score In 1st Half (87% Probability)

There is a strong expectation that Montpellier will fail to find the net before halftime. This aligns with Brest’s typically solid starts at home, combined with Montpellier’s inconsistent early-half performances. Expect Brest to focus on defensive organization early to maintain this record.

Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half (83% Probability)

The high likelihood of a goalless or only one-sided first half further supports a cautious opening 45 minutes. The statistics imply limited early attacking success from either side, so under bettors or those expecting a slow start may find value here.

Away Team Not To Score In 2nd Half (80% Probability)

Montpellier’s struggles in the second half are evident, and Brest’s late game strength reduces their opponents’ attacking opportunities. With the home side often compact defensively after halftime, expect the away team to find it difficult to break through.

Over 1.5 Goals (77% Probability)

With an average total goals figure of nearly 3 per game, surpassing the 1.5 goals mark looks highly probable. Past performances from both Brest and Montpellier indicate open play and defensive lapses, making over 1.5 goals a logical prediction.

Home Team To Win (73% Probability)

Brest appear as slight favorites for this clash. Their offensive capabilities, which average 1.14 goals per game, and home ground advantage support the view that they’re likely to come away with all three points.

Over 0.5 Goals HT (73% Probability)

Despite the expectation of a tight start, the chances of at least one goal in the first half also remain high, indicating that either side could break the deadlock early—making this an intriguing market for bettors looking for early action.

Additional Expert Predictions

• Goal in Last 15 Minutes (60% Probability): With the possibility of the last goal coming after the 73rd minute, late drama is expected. This predicts a match that may remain undecided until the final stages.
• First Goal Between Minute 0-29 (57% Probability): Early breakthroughs are plausible, so early attacking surges should be anticipated from both sides, particularly if Brest look to assert dominance at home.
• Both Teams Not to Score (57% Probability): Either side may finish the match without scoring, with defense potentially prevailing over attack in key moments.