Bologna vs Juventus

General Overview

Bologna faces Juventus in a highly anticipated Serie A clash on May 4, 2025, at 18:45. Statistical data suggests a contest characterized by disciplined defense, moderate card propensity, and a fair likelihood of goals from both sides. This match could prove to be strategically tight, with much hinging on second-half performances and cautious approaches from both teams.

Home Team To Score In 2nd Half: 88.00%

With the home side boasting an 88% probability of scoring in the second half, Bologna’s offensive activity is expected to peak after the break. Juventus will need to remain alert as pressure mounts after halftime, especially if the scoreline remains close. Bologna’s tactical shifts and late surges can be a deciding factor in this game.

Under 5.5 Cards: 85.00%

The chances of seeing fewer than six cards in the match are exceedingly high, at 85%. The disciplines of both squads are evident, and referees may be less inclined to issue bookings unless play gets particularly fiery. This predicts a controlled encounter with players focusing more on tactical play than physical aggression.

Both Teams Not To Score in 1st and 2nd Half: 76.00%

There’s a 76% chance that either Bologna or Juventus will fail to score in each half, implying that periods of the match may be tightly contested with few open opportunities. It emphasizes the likelihood of a defensive stalemate, especially in key moments of each half, where caution may override attacking risk.

Over 1.5 Goals: 76.00%

With a 76% probability for at least two goals in the game, spectators should expect some offensive action, likely concentrated later in the match. Combined with a 2.52 average total goals, this aligns with Serie A’s tendency for steady but not overwhelmingly high scores.

Disciplinary Factors

The likelihood of under 4.5 cards (67%) complements the earlier card projection. Average yellow cards per match (1.55) and low red card frequency (0.12) further reinforce expectations of calm discipline, suggesting the referee’s control won’t be a focal match point.

Goal Timing and Teams’ Performance

The probability of over 0.5 goals in the first half is 64%, indicating one early breakthrough could set the tone. Juventus is favored to score in the first half (56%), while their scoring drops off in the second. Bologna, contrarily, is more likely to find the net after the interval.

A final score total of exactly two or three goals is probable (58%), mirroring the statistical averages provided (avg. goals scored: 1.60, avg. conceded: 0.91). The last goal’s expected timing is before the 72nd minute with a 52% chance, suggesting early second-half objectives might prove pivotal.

Additional Expert Predictions

• Bologna’s tactical substitutions after the hour mark may play a key role in unlocking a solid Juventus defense late in the match.
• The expected disciplined dynamic will benefit teams reliant on structured build-ups rather than counter-attacking chaos.
• Set pieces could be decisive, as open play may be limited by tactical rigidity and card-averse refereeing.
• If Bologna scores first, expect them to intensify defensive focus, while Juventus is likely to push for a swift response before the interval.