Alianza Atletico vs Asociacion Deportiva Tarma

General Overview

The upcoming fixture between Alianza Atletico and Asociacion Deportiva Tarma, set for May 4, 2025, is projected to be an engaging contest with high scoring potential. With an average total goals figure of 3.7 and both teams showing similar output and susceptibility—1.95 average scored and 1.75 conceded respectively—fans can expect attacking football and defensive vulnerabilities across both sides. The disciplinary aspect appears moderate with a red card rate of 0.45, suggesting a competitive but not overly aggressive encounter.

Both Teams Not To Score In 2nd Half (78%)

There is a significant probability that one of the teams will fail to score during the second half. This points to the likelihood that adjustments or defensive solidity could emerge post-halftime, which could influence live betting strategies focusing on second-half shutouts or clean sheets for either side.

Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 Goals (78% each)

Strong indicators for both over 1.5 and 2.5 total goals underline expectations of multiple goals. The teams’ average goals scored and conceded align with these probabilities, supporting a match scenario where offensive chances are plentiful and neither defense is likely to keep a clean sheet.

Home Team To Score In 2nd Half (75%)

The home side boasts a very high chance of finding the net after the break. This could be crucial for player and team prop bets, specifically in-play markets or second-half correct score outcomes favoring Alianza Atletico to score.

Both Teams Not To Score In 1st Half (68%)

Early stages might see more caution, with a significant likelihood that only one team—if any—will score before halftime. Expect potential for a low-scoring or even goalless first half, especially with tactical setups aimed at containment before halftime changes.

First Goal Between Minute 0-29 & Over 0.5 Goals HT (68% each)

Despite the high chance of a cautious first half, there is still a strong probability for an early breakthrough by either side—the first goal is likely to come within the opening half-hour. Over 0.5 goals by halftime further supports at least one goal before the break, increasing the appeal for first-half goal markets.

Both Teams To Score & Over 3.5 Goals (68% each)

Betting markets favor both sides finding the net at some stage, with a sizable chance that total goals may climb above 3.5. This combination signals an open, end-to-end match featuring attacking football and potential defensive lapses on both sides.

Over 2.5 BTTS (68%)

There’s an elevated chance for not only three or more goals, but for these goals to be distributed between both teams—this bodes well for advanced bets combining goal total and scoring by both sides.

Away Team Not To Score in 1st and 2nd Half (60% each)

The odds slightly favor Alianza Atletico in terms of defensive performance, especially given the away team has only a 40% implied chance to score in each half. This cements the outlook of home side advantage, particularly as the match wears on.

Home Team To Win (58%)

Alianza Atletico is positioned as the favorites for a home victory. Their goal production, combined with a moderate conceded rate and strong second-half scoring probability, gives them the statistical edge in this head-to-head.

Late Goals – Last Goal 73+ Minutes, Last 15/10 Minutes (58%)

The match profile suggests a high likelihood for late drama, with goals expected in the closing phases—from the 73rd minute onward, and distinctly within the last 15 and 10 minutes. Fatigue, tactical changes, and risk-taking are likely to escalate chances for late goals.

Over 1.5 Goals HT (55%)

There is a slim but notable margin favoring more than one first-half goal. This emphasizes the potential for the match to defy expectations of a cagey opening and instead develop into a shootout by halftime.

Additional Expert Predictions

• Expect aggressive substitution strategies in the second half, aiming to exploit defensive tiredness.
• With a red card rate of 0.45, live bets on cards may be justified in feistier midfield duels.
• High scoring probability creates favorable conditions for combination bets on over 2.5 and both teams to score.
• The away side may focus heavily on containment, trying to exploit counter situations, which may elongate the game and favor late goals.